Tuesday, 20 January 2009

O-day


Not to let it pass without comment, the hopes of the world are very soon to be resting on this man's shoulders. Thankfully for him the Obama way is for all of us to carry it together. And that's probably most of all why we love him. If you want a tingle then check out the Avaaz Inauguration Hub, as a sampling of the world leaves its comments and best wishes :J

Monday, 19 January 2009

Blog round up

Spent most of tonight futzing or flowing through the blogosphere and thereabouts searching for stories, tidbits, inspirations while musing themes around co-operative networks & sustainability - for a book which I may or may not actually have time to write anytime soon, but which gives me something to chat about when I meet my publisher this week. It's amazing how much you can find or find out when 'reading for'. Just about my favourite blog covering similar areas, themes, ideas and stories was longtime greenormal link la margeurite which overlaps with most of what I've been working on/interested in overall (never mind the book) and who pointed to the futzing post above too. Top of the leftfield league was the story getting significant media attention in Russia of an academic/ex KGB analyst predicting a US civil war in 2009. Most seriously worrying though was good old George Monbiot who pointed to this brilliant essay by Sharon Astyk on whether the fossil fuel required to kick start the proposed green energy revolution in the USA might just itself tip us over the brink and wondering whether we could all just slow down instead? (God it's true - my wife and 6 year old son were teasing me today about how much I use the word 'brilliant', I need to enlarge my superlatives list). As far as design goes isnt Lea's new blog looking gorgeous, I'm totally jealous - in a friendly/admiring/loving the writing too sort of way, obviously. ;J

Friday, 16 January 2009

Growth


Black Monday, Green Tuesday episode on bbc radio 4 featuring yours truly is on i-Player now - and all round quite an interesting although inconclusive discussion on whether the recession is good or bad news for the cause of building a low carbon economy?

Contentious quote of the program was a commentator from a sustainable consultancy who says "for technical reasons we do need economic growth." I've got no idea if that is true, but I have met qualified economists who think it not.

It is what Adam Smith said - I've been reading Wealth of Nations recently, and very good and surprisingly humane book it is too. His argument was that only in a growing economy would new jobs = greater competition for workers = high wages = good standard of living. He also claimed that only growing economies were happy, declining ones melancholy.

Actually I've got to say I've really enjoyed the prevailing mood - the freedom and fresh openness to new ideas - of the last 6 months. And I've met some very happy people whose lives were already organised on a more communal, grow your own and debt free basis. Although I do realise that many others are having unhappy times and sleepless nights worrying about their jobs and their debts.

I think the thing is perhaps that within the business as usual rules GDP growth is needed to get people out of jail on their debts, investments and so on, given the interest that they otherwise owe. If we played by different rules (and we are well into that territory with state underwriting of those 'free markets') then maybe we dont. It's like saying "for technical reasons it is important to score goals in football". That's true but doesn't tell you anything about activities based more in cooperation and less in competition. A hardy perennial debate anyway.

I was at a meeting yesterday when I realised that actually the bit of the capitalist system I believe in much less than economic growth (lacking any real evidence that green growth actually works) is investment. Here's a thought experiment. Imagine in future that being an investor that owned the majority of future profits and growth (and had no responsibility, involvement, accountability for how those results were achieved) was seen in the way we look back upon slave ownership. A bit harsh I know but it is an extraordinary idea nonetheless. And both slave ownership and being an investor are described in Adam Smith's writings under the common heading of being "a master".

There was a piece in the FT this week about how private equity got caught out. Basically they would put 20% of their own money in and borrow 80% in bank debt. They only had to pay the banks back at 5%. So if overall the company more than doubled in value then their 20% became worth nearly 120% and hence +500% returns. The catch is of course what happens if the company (like all companies right now - equity market averages show) halves in value and the banks aren't renewing loans? But on a broader view, even allowing they were taking that risk, it doesn't seem quite fair somehow, to run the whole economy so that those that have can join get any number of such richer quick schemes. Ultimately there is always a cost too?

I wrote about quite a bit of this nearly a year ago (although i never did produce that paper with Jules) and am feeling quite prescient in that quite a few others - post Madoff - are wondering if large parts of the economy are a Ponzi scheme. Where I differ from some of the post growth crowd is I do believe in company and sector growth - as what i imagine as necessary correlates of innovation. We need to manage 'the whole forest' of the economy on sustainable grounds - ie tackling both poverty and living within the planet's resources - rather than applying a 'bonzai strategy' to individual trees within it.

Tuesday, 13 January 2009

A new mascot for India

Smart and entertaining campaign for conservation at newnationalanimal.com/via Meenakshi Madhvani: "Since India has managed to kill off most of its tigers, its high time we found another national animal! Please click on this link, sign the petition to the Indian Prime Minister to save the tiger (or what's left of it) and do vote for the replacement."

If it was a serious positive move I'd be rooting for Hindu's holy cows

But of course as its a culture jamming exercise the rats have to be the front runners...

Wednesday, 7 January 2009

Aren't websites great?

I've really been enjoying rifling through change.org for inspiration (a kind of january resolution retrofit) although a bit miffed that being a non-American it seems I cant vote to influence the presentation they are making to Obama. (Correction, I just worked out how to do it - it was a navigation problem - my vote was for Greening the US Grid)

Green thing goes from strength to strength.

And my favourite today is Winchester Action on Climate Change, incredibly simple but those real stories and personalities that emerge in the 'any other comments' plus the local feel and the crisp design... - I think they have pretty much got it just right.

Green Marketing Remix


Mario at Melodies in Marketing made this remixed infographic of the main ideas in my last book.

It's really good, much more intuitive somehow than the 'grid' - well worth checking out his explanation of this too...

I have a hires version from Mario if anyone wants one for presentations

:J

Tuesday, 6 January 2009

The Real New Deal


As reported by Sky, our PM here in the UK: "wants to create jobs in school repairs, new rail links and hospital projects.
He also hopes to usher in a new digital age by creating a super-fast broadband network for Britain, as well as creating several green jobs." Hopefully that several is a typo (several million, perhaps?), what they go on to say is that "This would include investing in electric cars and wind and wave power - which the Prime Minister claims would out-do the Obama plan, creating more jobs for Britain in relative terms." Meanwhile in the US of A the Obama New Deal plans look suitably immense and the centre piece could be a smart electric grid. Smart grids could be a key way to do more with less energy; according to Alex at World Changing 56.2% of energy produced in the electric grid is wasted in generation or transmission.

But the Real New Deal could come not from government infrastructure investment (I's tend to judge their commitment to this by their record - in the UK we have the third lowest mix of renewables in Europe, ahead of only Malta and Luxembourg) but from VC funding and a resulting surge in innovation. While some are saying VC is going to disappear from internet ventures (it's easier just to build it and see) and the world's rich investors have taken their worst hammering since the sack of Rome, the clean tech investment sector is the only one predicted to grow this year. This could benefit from a double whammy of a huge pool of talent from other sectors with time on its hands - similar to the fallout from the dotcom crash in 2002 which drove the web 2.0 innovations; coders doing stuff 'right' in some cases just to keep their skills fresh. Details of the 400 person National Venture Capital Association survey which came to this conclusion at triplepundit.

Of course it's about much more than cleantech. But it's a start.

Monday, 5 January 2009

Draft Article for Sublime (comments?)



BEYOND “PURE” GREEN

There are (in very broad terms) two sorts of human culture.

One is pure; perfectionist, idealised, utopian, iconic, archetypal, an eternal symbol of some superhuman ideal or desire. Freud wrote that our technology makes us prosthetic gods; achieving ancient Olympian fantasies in modern forms (such as private jets, cosmetic surgery and weapons of mass destruction). But it isn’t only the lifestyles and culture of the elite, this is also the territory occupied by iconic image brands; Chanel, Coca-Cola, Nike, Apple, Ferrari and so on.

The other is ramshackle; the muddle we seem to have got ourselves into, or (as the postmodernists put it) a Bricolage; something made from whatever happened to be handy. Like London, a city without a street plan, ramshackle culture is held together only by a loose consensus; that it seems to be ‘the way things are done these days’. Into this category we might include most of everyday life; travel on the metro, family mealtimes, reality TV. There are plenty of brands in this category too, notably the internet brands which grew out of a new folk culture consensus; like eBay, Facebook, Wikipedia and YouTube.

The world of “green” (ie environment and ethics) divides in the same way. The ramshackle; for instance leftover food turned into a stew, the charity shop, the make do and mend culture, Freecycle. The pure green is present in idealised eco architecture and design, in NGO campaigns and – unfortunately perhaps – in ethical consumerism …. We probably need both sorts of green culture. But I would argue that it is a bit of a disaster that ethical consumerism in particular ended up going the ‘purist’ iconic route.

We do need a kind of purity of purpose, a recognition that things really do have to change. And it seems that message really has got through, particularly when it comes to climate change. Paul Ray’s study of American values which he repeated last year (March 2008, sample 2000, Fieldwork by TNS), underlined just how strong the mandate is for quite sweeping reforms:

87% agree that “We need to treat the planet as a living system.”

81% “Corporations must take more responsibility for their impact on global warming.”

62% “The earth is headed for an environmental catastrophe unless we change.”

75% “People need to work for the good of the planet, for it is our only home.”

56% “Our materialistic way of life can be replaced by a new, more hopeful one.”


But the dangerous fantasy of pure green is that we can ‘turn back the clock’ to a time of natural grace, when people lived in harmony with each other and the land. The trouble being that in (ramshackle) reality we all live in a vast, interconnected global industrial complex. We do our best to hide this troubling fact; so successfully in fact (having exported our factories to China) that we kid ourselves we live in a post industrial ‘info’ age. But there is nearly nothing we can buy that doesn’t represent thousands of workers, thousands of miles, a production line of billions of items. This is literally a life support system that we are hooked up to. A modern city like LA has roughly 2 days supply of food.

In this way many (but by no means the majority of) people have escaped what Adam Smith described as “the trouble and toil” of labouring to provide ourselves with food, shelter, transport, the tools of our trades and any luxuries on top of that. But with this progress comes a critical dependency; we are far from being able to feed, warm, clothe ourselves on any kind of scale. We are wobbling at the top of a pyramid of progress. At its base is the division of labour.

The division of labour is thought of as a modern industrial invention. Actually it is mentioned by authors back to Plato. The Code of Hammurabi, the surviving ancient text of Babylonian law mentions specialised occupations including merchants, brokers, bankers, mercenaries, landlords, agents, prostitutes, judges, scribes, tavern keepers, builders, shipbuilders, sailors, craftsmen (such as rope makers and potters), apprentices, physicians, veterinary surgeons, barbers, concubines, maid-servants, temple-maids, gardeners, farmers, herdsmen and shepherds, field labourers and ox-cart drivers. Ever since we have had cities, or probably towns, people have specialised in their occupations and many hands were always involved in something as simple as an item of clothing; once you allow for the mining and manufacturing of the tools of agriculture, for weaving, dyes, for making the boats or carts… and the whole supply chain.

What the public seems to want – or at least what it has been offered until now – is green, purist absolute goods. Representing in many cases what is left of small scale production. Fair Trade is a noble example, and is responsible for millions in improved wages in developing world agriculture. But what concerns me is that the strength of such purist ‘brands’ as this blinds us to how marginal this is within the global industrial complex. Especially if people feel they have done their bit, made their sacrifice at the temple, and can now get on with life.

The average spend on ethical goods in the UK equates on average to one bag of Fair Trade coffee and a pack of organic corn per family per week.

What we really need to tackle is the other 95%. Sugar is a case in point. The sugar industry runs to more than 145 million tonnes a year, is a major (major) user of water, and in terms of workers rights, according to Brazilian NGOs such as Rede Social, little has changed in the last two hundred years – with hard labour, slavery and appalling levels of fatality. According to a WWF report in 2004 sugar may also be responsible for more biodiversity loss than any other crop “due to habitat loss, intensive use of water for irrigation, heavy use of agro-chemicals, as well as discharge and runoff of polluted effluent associated with the industry.” Tate and Lyle have (commendably) actually gone FairTrade as far as their UK retail sugar goes, but this is a tiny fraction of the sugar we consume in all the manufactured foods we eat.

What is required – to create sustainability on a true global scale – is to deal with all the global ramshackle legacy of the invisible industries like sugar. There are moves incidentally to create a voluntary code of responsibility in sugar – but how to support that, or connect it with consumers, outside the fairtrade niche producers? This is a very different sort of audience engagement task than selling purist 'green goods'. It requires mass education in the real process of how things are produced. If you want a great example of what I mean check out the online documentary “The Story of Stuff”. This process of education to support real reform may be starting; in the UK at least we now value of animal welfare when it comes to buying chicken, in Holland the country has passed zero waste legislation: both the result of popular TV documentaries which lifted the lid on issues and got people into real world change, beyond purist ‘ethical’ consumerism into a kind of new common sense.